Probability Presidential Election 2024

Probability Presidential Election 2024. Our prediction model runs the numbers to assess whether a slim lead will be enough to put ms harris in the white house. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning.


Probability Presidential Election 2024

Leans (60%+), likely (80%+), safe (95%+). This page displays the current 270towin polling average for each state.

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